Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.742586e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.140483e-06 0.000004 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.731888e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.399878e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.137074e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.921391e-06 0.000003 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.760967e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.621645e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000019
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.460249e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.344293e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.234625e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.152977e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.085469e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000033
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.001171e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 9.365026e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000041
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.753948e-07 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000045
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.222928e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000051
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.746162e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000021 0.000056
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.385923e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000023 0.000064
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.045294e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000025 0.000072
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.568314e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000010 0.000025 0.000078
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.225074e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000027 0.000086
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.872802e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000010 0.000028 0.000093